Apologies for that oversight. 538's 2022 average generic ballot only had a 1.2% advantage for Republicans. And Real Clear Politics' average showed 2.5%. In the end, their popular vote advantage ended up being 2.8%. I would have thought the disparity would be greater considering all the "red wave" talk.
What did polling say about the House in 2022? It’s not in the chart. Wasn’t it predicting a “red wave”?
Apologies for that oversight. 538's 2022 average generic ballot only had a 1.2% advantage for Republicans. And Real Clear Politics' average showed 2.5%. In the end, their popular vote advantage ended up being 2.8%. I would have thought the disparity would be greater considering all the "red wave" talk.