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It's interesting to note that VP Harris has cracked the 50% mark on numerous recent polls, but Donald Trump never has. Does that mean he's reached his ceiling? Sure seems that way. Are the latest KNOWING Trump/Vance lies about Haitian immigrants designed to get low propensity MAGA leaners to turn out? Again, sure seems that way. Seems that the Trump campaign has given up on expanding their reach and instead is digging into the lower reaches of the MAGA cesspool.

Speaking of extremists on the ballot, there's A LOT of buzz here in NC that something big is about to drop on Mark Robinson which could cause him to withdraw from the governor's race. Given how vile he's been the socials for years, it's hard to imagine what could be bad enough to drive him from the race, but apparently CNN has a big story coming out on him. That would throw the entirety of the NC race, top to bottom, into utter turmoil for the republicans and help the Harris campaign's chances. *Cheshire Cat grin.....*

Once again, thanks for the great analysis, Jay!

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I believe he reached his popular vote ceiling. He will need an EC vote win through a favorable distribution of those votes. That begins and ends in PA.

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I still think there is room to move on the Women gap. I hope/think that southern (‘republican’) ladies are starting to hear the stories of young women dying of these abortion bans and may just find a reason to go to the polls this year without hubby. Young and black women may show the rethuglicans a thing or 2 as well. Nobody looks at southern LBGTQ+ voters, but we are motivated as well.

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I cannot believe that North Carolinians would actually vote for Mark Robinson...he is VILE.

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He has NO redeeming qualities. None. He and his wife ran a shockingly bad day care center, and lied about doing background checks on their employees. Then they defrauded the state and federal government with another business that was supposed to provide food for low-income kids. He and his family have made a career out of getting rich off of CHILDREN. It doesn't get much lower than that.

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And the rethug for secretary of education in NC is a nazi as well. Add Kamala and abortion into the mix and this might be a perfect storm in NC. They are still gerrymandered to the hilt, but that has no effect on national or statewide races.

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100%! If anyone is unfamiliar with this guy, do yourself a favor and google him. He is exactly as you describe and probably worse if you dig deeper. Thanks for sharing.

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And....

The story is out! Lol.

And it's a doozy. He's saying he won't withdrawal. I'm assuming that's actually a good thing, but who knows.

He has til the end of day today to change his tiny little mind, according to state law.

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I’ll be writing about this tomorrow in The Status Kuo…

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You'll need a long shower when you're finished.

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News flash for Mark Robinson: He's out, one way or the other. The stuff that CNN revealed is just more graphic and loathsome than the things he's been willing to put his name on publicly. He's simply a vile human being. There are few people who have no redeeming qualities, but he's one. Along with Trump.

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I haven’t read the CNN article but the threads about him on BlueSky are gross. Was there a volcano full of dinosaur poo somewhere that shot him out onto the earth?

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That's as good a theory as any. He's clearly a man with deep self-esteem and anger issues. He's got a chip on his shoulder as big as he is.

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Re Mark R., the Republicans have asked him to drop out and he has refused.

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ONLY because his polling is bad. NC republicans would be just fine with him if he was leading in the polls.

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