This is why I have 500 postcards here from postcards to swing states, all being written and mailed to voters in Michigan. I'll be organizing some postcard writing parties with some like-minded friends and we'll joyfully get writer's cramp, believing we are doing our part in seeing that these swing states do their job and vote blue.
I’ve been doing postcards, too, with Activate America. It’s easy and fun—and I favor the USPS cards—already stamped and they only cost $.58 each. Just gather up some colored pens and get creative!
https://votefwd.org/ is another great organization where volunteers send letters to people all around the country. I have been doing this for several years and it’s a very satisfying way to help where I can.
A nighly prayer is an excellent idea. I just saw a terrific photo of Biden and I prayed God bless Joe Biden . . . God bless the USA . . . God bless our Constitution.
The polling data published here are ludicrous. The same people who say the economy is just fine in their state say it's terrible in the country. That means that they are over-representing Faux News people, 'cause that's all that illegitimate organization "reports." Although it's also worth noting that the MSM fails to report what they know is a fact: Over 50% of inflation is corporate greed. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=udITRL9-t08
About reason number 1: “But Trump’s got an additional problem. He did better than Biden did among older, white voters. But since 2020, a good number of them are, shall we say, no longer in the electorate.”
One explanation that a good number of trump’s older, white voters are no longer around is that they followed his advice on COVID treatments. Killing off your supporters is not a good get-out-the-vote strategy.
If you want a good reason to ignore polls, just ask yourself "how many people do I know that answer phone calls from unknown numbers?" People that answer polls skew to a specific age group and do not represent the general population in any real way.
That is what I keep saying. Most of the people I know are so trolling and data mining averse that we do not answer numbers we do not know unless we are expecting someone whose number is not in our system to call. My 90 year old mom would be someone to answer the call. She had a stroke 3 years ago and it has affected her memory. So, she does not remember not to answer the phone when she does not know someone even though I have asked her not to. She thinks, "Oh it is someone I forgot calling me!" She has been the victim of phone scams because of this. I believe I have not talked to someone I don't intend to for at least a decade. Sorry pollsters.
Your final paragraph is an excellent summation. People by-and-large will not be engaged in the election until the fall, at which point they will be confronted with the stark choice of Joe Biden or Donald Trump. Democrats who have been vaguely dissatisfied with Biden due to his age will see that they have no "off ramp" to some other unnamed candidate. I fully anticipate Trump's mental and physical dissolution to be that much more in evidence by then as well.
I would really like the Biden campaign to start showing some clips of films of Germany under Hitler. Let us understand that Goebbels, his very effective propaganda minister also had an extensive network of spies who would hear what people were saying. Prof. Timothy Snyder says, you don't want children in an authoritarian regime. One, you have to lie to them all the time because the truth would be too dangerous. And, you have to worry about them turning you in so you have to be afraid for them and of them. Also, I would be running a lot of campaign ads with parallels between Hitlers and Goebbels anti Jewish rhetoric, and Trumps anti Immigrant rhetoric. When you make a group responsible for all problems it is just not credible. But then again, I am atheist so I realize there is a high level of suspending disbelief in religious belief, which I am not able to do. Getting to your mental dissolution point, I am still wondering about the Adderall claims about Trump. After learning how many toxic drugs Hitler's doctor was giving him for his ongoing depression, like cyanide, I am now thinking that his doctor killed him. In any case, he had extreme mental deterioration in the end. I know that Trump's dad had an Alzheimers diagnosis. I wonder how much the American people will vote for someone who does not appear for long stretches of time, which I can see Trump ending up doing too as he mentally deteriorates.
It may sound odd to say it, but we were lucky that our first would-be dictator was Donald Trump. He has no vision for the country. He simply wants to be able to act upon his own impulses unchecked. Those impulses tend to be confined to making ever more money through grifting and acting upon his grievances. His strongest actions are always reactions. He was not in his prime even in 2016, and now is on an ever-steepening slope of decline.
The news is only just starting to catch up with how bad the Wildwood, New Jersey rally was for Trump - possibly worse than the hush money trial. His followers are normally marinating in Fox News and OANN, and so they don't typically see what he has really become. Seeing him in person on his own turf talking truly crazy sh*t resulted in a LOT of people leaving the rally. To cycle back on your Hitler analogy, the Führer stop appearing in public as his various symptoms worsened. Many of the people around Hitler developed the same opinion of him that Trump's senior advisors developed of Trump. By then of course his inner circle was committed to him because of what would happen to them if they lost the war. There is an inner circle around Trump that fears that justice may catch up with them after it catches up with their boss.
Sounds like when Hitler was disappearing into his lair in Poland for long periods and did not show up for Heros day and people were wondering where he was because he was deteriorating so much. But, Goebbels created some videos that made it look like Hitler was functioning and busy on the front rallying the troops. Hardly! Trump has to show up to court, though I read today that he slept through Cohen's cross examination. Not a good look. I wonder if he drools then. I am now calling Mike "Goebbels" Johnson since he has decided to promote Trump through propaganda. All of the MAGA apologists for Trump are the "Goebbels Brigade!"
There is some extremely ironic reporting occurring as we speak. Todd Blanche is trying to portray Michael Cohen as having "idolized Trump" in the past with Mike Johnson, Tommy Tuberville, and Rick Scott sitting there right in the courtroom doing precisely that.
Let’s hope that TFG’s mental and physical declining state is more evident, because it’s going to need to offset the big gasoline price spike in October courtesy of his Russian and Saudi friends and the independent frackers in the U.S. that are colluding with OPEC on production and price.
I'm confident that there are more voters with a conscience that see the potential for what can happen if they don't vote for Biden. I am quite anxious, though, to see if those same voters will realise the importance of also electing Democrats for Senate and Congress. And should democrats somehow walk away with super majority, it will be interesting to see if they will take advantage of the position while they have it, to hopefully pass some meaningful legislation to close potential loopholes for future wannabe dictators and find a way to ensure reproductive, LGBTQ and transgender rights at the federal level so the states pushing their hateful agenda can be stopped. 🤞
All ten are good reasons to be cautiously optimistic. Plus, the fact that polls can't predict the future There are an infinite number of things that could happen between now and November. Hey, we don't know, maybe once Melania digests what Michael Cohen said in court that Trump said he could replace her easily...she might leave the DON...and speak out...you never know. Don't tell me that that is unlikely. Tell me that we just don't know...what might happen between now and November.
I think the main reason I think Biden will win is that I refuse to believe that half the country, or half the swing states, want the prospect that Project 2025 projects to be something to make American Great. That goes straight to what several of your points raise--and that shows in the polls. Right now many people do not KNOW what the prospect is. Our job, besides getting out the vote, is to keep trying in whatever way we can to get that information OUT to people. Letters the editor of your local paper, if you still have one--even the paper that mostly keeps track of soccer games of pre-adolescents. Speak up at any meeting you can find that is remotely political.
Get your book club to read "It Can't Happen Here." Make your parents (or the book club) read "A Day in the Life of Abed Salama" so that they can understand WHY the call "Free Palestine" isn't antisemitic. (I can't recommend this book highly enough for everyone--non fiction, reads like a novel, written by an American Jew who lives in Jerusalem and has SEEN the stuff he relates).
I live in the bluest corner of a blue state that had 84% turnout in 2020. There is not much I can do locally. Arthritis makes postcarding hard, and we have no election workers given all mail-in voting. But I can speak up on any forum that I can bear to read and the few I can actually attend--I can still do a keyboard pretty well, though simply getting INTO the car is getting harder and harder.
One thing I wonder about as trump slides deeper into what observers describe as symptomatic of dementia. How many middle aged children are watching now as their OWN parents slide down that slope? How much will it resonate, with them and their friends, to see the things causing them despair in their parents showing up in their potential candidate?
Above all, remember Hitchhiker's Guide's mantra: Don't Panic.
Check out Alan Gartner, a psychologist, who's put together a site(?) called "Duty to Warn." He ticks off all the obvious and not-so-obvious signs of developing dementia in Dumpy. His hunched shoulders, his shuffling gait, his arm and hand movements, as well as confusing people like Jimmy Connors for Jimmy Carter. Lots more. I wish more journalists would write about him.
What the hell is wrong with people who would let 8 year old little girls that were raped and forced to give birth while clutching a teddy bear !!!! What is seriously wrong with this bullshit ! I have lost faith in humanity! It does not exist anymore .That people would vote for a conniving, lying , rapist , fraudulent, misogynistic carrot -colored, loser and traitor to have the most important role in the country ! Why would anyone think it would be great to live in a dictatorship! Do you think because you are a repugnant and or a wealthy donor ,that dumpster wouldn't throw anyone and everyone under the bus ! DUMPSTER ONLY CARES ABOUT HIMSELF, NO ONE ELSE ! And if the people do not get that and vote for the democrats , you get what you deserve !
I've been saying that for years now. And not that I really want to know but, wouldn't it be interesting to see how the whiners who complain about " the Democrats taking away their freedums" try to whine when their true freedoms are eradicated completely. Especially when " the guberbment" does come for their guns !
Well, he admits he does have worms that ate his brain and died.
I take that as a clear warning. First off , who in their right mind , especially a politician running for not just any office, but President of the US, would admit that publicly, much less seemingly brag about it ? And then , just how much of his brain did the worms eat ? More than he thinks I believe.
RFK Jr. Is a Republican plant and a classic example of the dimwittedness of the GOP. They assumed Dem voters are simpletons like their own constituents and would jump at the chance to vote for a Kennedy, thereby drawing votes away from Biden. Instead, RFK Jr’s wackiness on issues like vaccination has appealed to MAGATS and he is syphoning votes from Don von Shitzinpants.
I get so tired of the people who say both sides need to pick someone else. Republicans had a chance and refused. I believe if they had not picked Trump, Biden would not have run. Really, if Republican senators had done their job in January 2021, we wouldn't be having this conversation. But bottom line, it doesn't matter if you wish there were two other candidates. This is who we have. If Biden can't serve, we would have a perfectly intelligent, competent VP to take over. If Trump goes into full-blown dementia (he's close now), we would probably have a MAGA sycophant who would still be awful. The choice really is easy.
I also believe had the GOP picked a different candidate Biden would not have run. There is part of me that feels the Dems should have picked someone else but I also truly believe that nobody who voted Biden in 2020 is going to flip to trump... I feel the only people changing their minds are the ones who voted trump in 2020. And I also believe we already saw quite a bit of flipping in 2020.
This is why I have 500 postcards here from postcards to swing states, all being written and mailed to voters in Michigan. I'll be organizing some postcard writing parties with some like-minded friends and we'll joyfully get writer's cramp, believing we are doing our part in seeing that these swing states do their job and vote blue.
Same (although when my package arrived, I realized I may have overcommitted 😬🤣)!
😂 same here! At least we have a couple of months.
Get those friends coming over!!
How do you sign up? I would like to do it, I am in California and want to help in states that need it.
Go to https://www.mobilize.us/padems/ for PA, https://www.mobilize.us/wisdems/ for WI, and https://michigandems.com/volunteer/ for MI. Those are the swing states Biden MUST win to win the EC.
Go get 'em, Beth!
I’ve been doing postcards, too, with Activate America. It’s easy and fun—and I favor the USPS cards—already stamped and they only cost $.58 each. Just gather up some colored pens and get creative!
Thx, Janet.
https://votefwd.org/ is another great organization where volunteers send letters to people all around the country. I have been doing this for several years and it’s a very satisfying way to help where I can.
Worry Less, Do More! (Simon Rosenberg) My 200 postcards should arrive tomorrow, for voters in swing states.
God bless you, Linnae!
God bless America … my nightly prayer.
A nighly prayer is an excellent idea. I just saw a terrific photo of Biden and I prayed God bless Joe Biden . . . God bless the USA . . . God bless our Constitution.
Good. Keep up the good fight.
same, in Philly!
You have a moral disease
"The reality that the economy is actually doing well across the nation has not yet set in for some."
By Nov, if current trends continue, the numbers of doubters should diminish.
"the shock of higher prices, driven mostly by corporate profiteering, will have had more time to wear off."
I'm actually seeing polls lately suggesting voters are finally blaming corporate profiteering for the higher prices.
(Navigator Research.)
That would mean that the mainstream press is finally reporting on it.
The polling data published here are ludicrous. The same people who say the economy is just fine in their state say it's terrible in the country. That means that they are over-representing Faux News people, 'cause that's all that illegitimate organization "reports." Although it's also worth noting that the MSM fails to report what they know is a fact: Over 50% of inflation is corporate greed. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=udITRL9-t08
About reason number 1: “But Trump’s got an additional problem. He did better than Biden did among older, white voters. But since 2020, a good number of them are, shall we say, no longer in the electorate.”
One explanation that a good number of trump’s older, white voters are no longer around is that they followed his advice on COVID treatments. Killing off your supporters is not a good get-out-the-vote strategy.
If you want a good reason to ignore polls, just ask yourself "how many people do I know that answer phone calls from unknown numbers?" People that answer polls skew to a specific age group and do not represent the general population in any real way.
That is what I keep saying. Most of the people I know are so trolling and data mining averse that we do not answer numbers we do not know unless we are expecting someone whose number is not in our system to call. My 90 year old mom would be someone to answer the call. She had a stroke 3 years ago and it has affected her memory. So, she does not remember not to answer the phone when she does not know someone even though I have asked her not to. She thinks, "Oh it is someone I forgot calling me!" She has been the victim of phone scams because of this. I believe I have not talked to someone I don't intend to for at least a decade. Sorry pollsters.
Thank you for your commentary.
Your final paragraph is an excellent summation. People by-and-large will not be engaged in the election until the fall, at which point they will be confronted with the stark choice of Joe Biden or Donald Trump. Democrats who have been vaguely dissatisfied with Biden due to his age will see that they have no "off ramp" to some other unnamed candidate. I fully anticipate Trump's mental and physical dissolution to be that much more in evidence by then as well.
I would really like the Biden campaign to start showing some clips of films of Germany under Hitler. Let us understand that Goebbels, his very effective propaganda minister also had an extensive network of spies who would hear what people were saying. Prof. Timothy Snyder says, you don't want children in an authoritarian regime. One, you have to lie to them all the time because the truth would be too dangerous. And, you have to worry about them turning you in so you have to be afraid for them and of them. Also, I would be running a lot of campaign ads with parallels between Hitlers and Goebbels anti Jewish rhetoric, and Trumps anti Immigrant rhetoric. When you make a group responsible for all problems it is just not credible. But then again, I am atheist so I realize there is a high level of suspending disbelief in religious belief, which I am not able to do. Getting to your mental dissolution point, I am still wondering about the Adderall claims about Trump. After learning how many toxic drugs Hitler's doctor was giving him for his ongoing depression, like cyanide, I am now thinking that his doctor killed him. In any case, he had extreme mental deterioration in the end. I know that Trump's dad had an Alzheimers diagnosis. I wonder how much the American people will vote for someone who does not appear for long stretches of time, which I can see Trump ending up doing too as he mentally deteriorates.
You covered a lot of points in a few words.
It may sound odd to say it, but we were lucky that our first would-be dictator was Donald Trump. He has no vision for the country. He simply wants to be able to act upon his own impulses unchecked. Those impulses tend to be confined to making ever more money through grifting and acting upon his grievances. His strongest actions are always reactions. He was not in his prime even in 2016, and now is on an ever-steepening slope of decline.
The news is only just starting to catch up with how bad the Wildwood, New Jersey rally was for Trump - possibly worse than the hush money trial. His followers are normally marinating in Fox News and OANN, and so they don't typically see what he has really become. Seeing him in person on his own turf talking truly crazy sh*t resulted in a LOT of people leaving the rally. To cycle back on your Hitler analogy, the Führer stop appearing in public as his various symptoms worsened. Many of the people around Hitler developed the same opinion of him that Trump's senior advisors developed of Trump. By then of course his inner circle was committed to him because of what would happen to them if they lost the war. There is an inner circle around Trump that fears that justice may catch up with them after it catches up with their boss.
Sounds like when Hitler was disappearing into his lair in Poland for long periods and did not show up for Heros day and people were wondering where he was because he was deteriorating so much. But, Goebbels created some videos that made it look like Hitler was functioning and busy on the front rallying the troops. Hardly! Trump has to show up to court, though I read today that he slept through Cohen's cross examination. Not a good look. I wonder if he drools then. I am now calling Mike "Goebbels" Johnson since he has decided to promote Trump through propaganda. All of the MAGA apologists for Trump are the "Goebbels Brigade!"
There is some extremely ironic reporting occurring as we speak. Todd Blanche is trying to portray Michael Cohen as having "idolized Trump" in the past with Mike Johnson, Tommy Tuberville, and Rick Scott sitting there right in the courtroom doing precisely that.
Fellow Nazis.
Biden’s the genocide lover here.
Can you even speak to the death Trump has brought about while still president and is currently bringing about in the USA and the world?
Let’s hope that TFG’s mental and physical declining state is more evident, because it’s going to need to offset the big gasoline price spike in October courtesy of his Russian and Saudi friends and the independent frackers in the U.S. that are colluding with OPEC on production and price.
Excellent newsletter, very well researched and most encouraging! Can't wait for Nov. 5th!!
I'm confident that there are more voters with a conscience that see the potential for what can happen if they don't vote for Biden. I am quite anxious, though, to see if those same voters will realise the importance of also electing Democrats for Senate and Congress. And should democrats somehow walk away with super majority, it will be interesting to see if they will take advantage of the position while they have it, to hopefully pass some meaningful legislation to close potential loopholes for future wannabe dictators and find a way to ensure reproductive, LGBTQ and transgender rights at the federal level so the states pushing their hateful agenda can be stopped. 🤞
And stack the Supreme Court!
All ten are good reasons to be cautiously optimistic. Plus, the fact that polls can't predict the future There are an infinite number of things that could happen between now and November. Hey, we don't know, maybe once Melania digests what Michael Cohen said in court that Trump said he could replace her easily...she might leave the DON...and speak out...you never know. Don't tell me that that is unlikely. Tell me that we just don't know...what might happen between now and November.
I think the main reason I think Biden will win is that I refuse to believe that half the country, or half the swing states, want the prospect that Project 2025 projects to be something to make American Great. That goes straight to what several of your points raise--and that shows in the polls. Right now many people do not KNOW what the prospect is. Our job, besides getting out the vote, is to keep trying in whatever way we can to get that information OUT to people. Letters the editor of your local paper, if you still have one--even the paper that mostly keeps track of soccer games of pre-adolescents. Speak up at any meeting you can find that is remotely political.
Get your book club to read "It Can't Happen Here." Make your parents (or the book club) read "A Day in the Life of Abed Salama" so that they can understand WHY the call "Free Palestine" isn't antisemitic. (I can't recommend this book highly enough for everyone--non fiction, reads like a novel, written by an American Jew who lives in Jerusalem and has SEEN the stuff he relates).
I live in the bluest corner of a blue state that had 84% turnout in 2020. There is not much I can do locally. Arthritis makes postcarding hard, and we have no election workers given all mail-in voting. But I can speak up on any forum that I can bear to read and the few I can actually attend--I can still do a keyboard pretty well, though simply getting INTO the car is getting harder and harder.
One thing I wonder about as trump slides deeper into what observers describe as symptomatic of dementia. How many middle aged children are watching now as their OWN parents slide down that slope? How much will it resonate, with them and their friends, to see the things causing them despair in their parents showing up in their potential candidate?
Above all, remember Hitchhiker's Guide's mantra: Don't Panic.
Check out Alan Gartner, a psychologist, who's put together a site(?) called "Duty to Warn." He ticks off all the obvious and not-so-obvious signs of developing dementia in Dumpy. His hunched shoulders, his shuffling gait, his arm and hand movements, as well as confusing people like Jimmy Connors for Jimmy Carter. Lots more. I wish more journalists would write about him.
Alan Gartner's observations and professional opinions, I mean. Too many people write about Dumpy these days.
Yes, I've read a lot about his work.
I always appreciate a levelheaded argument that assuages my fears. Thanks
What the hell is wrong with people who would let 8 year old little girls that were raped and forced to give birth while clutching a teddy bear !!!! What is seriously wrong with this bullshit ! I have lost faith in humanity! It does not exist anymore .That people would vote for a conniving, lying , rapist , fraudulent, misogynistic carrot -colored, loser and traitor to have the most important role in the country ! Why would anyone think it would be great to live in a dictatorship! Do you think because you are a repugnant and or a wealthy donor ,that dumpster wouldn't throw anyone and everyone under the bus ! DUMPSTER ONLY CARES ABOUT HIMSELF, NO ONE ELSE ! And if the people do not get that and vote for the democrats , you get what you deserve !
I've been saying that for years now. And not that I really want to know but, wouldn't it be interesting to see how the whiners who complain about " the Democrats taking away their freedums" try to whine when their true freedoms are eradicated completely. Especially when " the guberbment" does come for their guns !
Blame Genocide Joe.
RFK, Jr? PFFT. In 6 mos. he'll be as popular as a puppy with worms.
Well, he admits he does have worms that ate his brain and died.
I take that as a clear warning. First off , who in their right mind , especially a politician running for not just any office, but President of the US, would admit that publicly, much less seemingly brag about it ? And then , just how much of his brain did the worms eat ? More than he thinks I believe.
RFK Jr. Is a Republican plant and a classic example of the dimwittedness of the GOP. They assumed Dem voters are simpletons like their own constituents and would jump at the chance to vote for a Kennedy, thereby drawing votes away from Biden. Instead, RFK Jr’s wackiness on issues like vaccination has appealed to MAGATS and he is syphoning votes from Don von Shitzinpants.
Always on target, Jay. I'm convinced Biden will be reelected!
I get so tired of the people who say both sides need to pick someone else. Republicans had a chance and refused. I believe if they had not picked Trump, Biden would not have run. Really, if Republican senators had done their job in January 2021, we wouldn't be having this conversation. But bottom line, it doesn't matter if you wish there were two other candidates. This is who we have. If Biden can't serve, we would have a perfectly intelligent, competent VP to take over. If Trump goes into full-blown dementia (he's close now), we would probably have a MAGA sycophant who would still be awful. The choice really is easy.
I also believe had the GOP picked a different candidate Biden would not have run. There is part of me that feels the Dems should have picked someone else but I also truly believe that nobody who voted Biden in 2020 is going to flip to trump... I feel the only people changing their minds are the ones who voted trump in 2020. And I also believe we already saw quite a bit of flipping in 2020.
Thank you for giving us hope!
"[M]ost Americans won’t start paying attention to the election until the Fall."
Historically, yes. This election? I predict they'll start earlier. The days of comparing future elections to their previous ones are over.